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Wednesday, August 20, 2008
URGENT Advice for McCain supporters...
Posted by: Kevin McCullough at 4:09 PM

Keep your eye on the ball...

I know Drudge has had it splashed has his top headline for a few hours but McCain supporters should not draw great encouragement from the now 5pt lead McCain has in the newest poll...

It is meaningless for two reasons...

1. It is ZOGBY a pollster whose actual record is reliably one thing... unreliable.

2. It is August. And while trends moving in McCain's direction are important, needed, and good. (Kerry and Gore both lost ground in August.) The margin in this race is far too close to allow a five point lead to lull anyone into thinking that the corner has been turned.

The truly most important thing that will happen this week is the selection of the Veeps. I personally don't think Obama will take any of the "four big names" that keep being floated.

And if McCain wishes to undo all this momentum that he has gained since his strong showing Saturday night - the best thing he could do is pick a running mate that would be in conflict with his own positions on life, marriage, taxes, national security, etc...

And picking someone who once voted for a nuclear freeze, and supports Obama's Freedom of Choice Act, is probably the dumbest thing he could do...


Tags: obama mccain Veep Ridge



Monday, August 18, 2008
Veep Predictions
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 12:51 PM
... mine are sadly boring. 

- Obama/Bayh

- McCain/Pawlenty

What say you?

Tags: Veep



Monday, August 18, 2008
Heartbreak Ridge
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:44 AM
The assassination of Benazir Bhutto was a wake-up call, which many believe helped John McCain (I said so at the time).  Bhutto was killed on December 27, just prior to the early primary season, and it arguably shocked Americans into putting a premium on experience and foreign policy credentials.  To what degree this benefited McCain is unclear.  He, of course, went on to win the nomination. 

As Russian tanks lumbered deeper into Georgia last week, some began speculating that McCain might once again benefit from this reminder to voters that we do, in fact, live in a dangerous world. 

But while this revelation may be good news for Republicans, it could also be bad news for conservatives, as the timing could impact McCain's vice presidential decision.

Yesterday, on Fox News Sunday, Bill Kristol argued that this international crisis increases the likelihood McCain might select either Sen. Joe Lieberman or former Pennsylvania Governor Tom Ridge.  Granted, Kristol is probably wrong at least as often as he is correct.  Still, it is an interesting and disturbing analysis, which comes on the heels of McCain's recent statement that, "... Tom Ridge is one of the great leaders, and he happens to be pro-choice. And I don't think that that would necessarily rule Tom Ridge out."

Every vice president is a heartbeat away from the presidency, but I have long argued that McCain’s vice presidential pick is perhaps even more significant than usual.  Leadership guru John Maxwell often says that without a successor there is no success.  In this regard, George W. Bush has failed (though his failure to provide a successor may be a good thing).  But it is unlikely this will happen again.  Historically, vice presidents often do go on to become president.  They tend to be the heir apparent.  But a bad successor is worse than no successor at all.  And when you take into consideration McCain's age, it is likely that the person who is selected by McCain will someday become the GOP nominee.

This is where the Ridge speculation concerns me (the Lieberman speculation does not concern me, as it is perhaps too far fetched). 

Since 1973, when Roe vs. Wade became the law of the land, the Republican Party has enjoyed unparalleled success.  The GOP's pro-life position activated Evangelicals, and also brought many Catholics -- traditionally a strong Democratic constituency -- into the conservative coalition.  The first rule of selecting a veep is to "do no harm," and Ridge's selection would certainly violate that maxim.  Ridge's selection would be an unprecedented step backward for the Republican Party, which has become the home of pro-life voters.  In essence, this would absolutely destroy what is left of the brand. 

But aside from the strategic reasons a Ridge selection would be an unwise move, Ridge's consideration should be of great philosophical concern for anyone who values the right to "life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness."  The right to life is obviously the first right endowed by our Creator, and anyone who fails to appreciate this fundamental concept clearly has a "world view" -- to use a term that Rick Warren might be more comfortable with -- that is anathema to classical liberal values.

On Fox News Sunday yesterday, Ridge argued that his positions on the life issue are irrelevant, as any vice president would obviously defer to the judgment of the president.  Here's how he put it:

"The last time I checked, the vice president is not an independent voice. He echoes the position of the president of the United States," Ridge said. "I think it's the responsibility of the vice president. If you're unwilling or unable to do that, then I think you should defer to someone else."

This is a dubious argument, as it applies only so long as the vice president is the vice president.  Once a veep becomes president, all bets are off. 

In 1980, Ronald Reagan selected George H.W. Bush.  Bush had previously been pro-choice, but had -- on his own -- converted to the pro-life cause.  Reagan's selection of Bush would be tantamount to McCain's selection of Mitt Romney -- a pro-life convert (still, many conservatives believe Bush's selection as veep -- as opposed to picking Kemp or Laxalt -- doomed the Reagan Revolution). But Ridge has no plans to convert to the pro-Life cause, and so any Reagan/Bush analogy/argument that anyone might make is a patently false one.

My guess is this is Much Ado about Nothing.  McCain's floating of Ridge's name as being under "consideration" is probably a political move.  Just as floating the names of Sarah Palin and Bobby Jindal demonstrates the diversity of the GOP, the mere idea that McCain is considering a pro-choicer might make him more palatable to some former Hillary Clinton supporters.

So why make a fuss about this now?  Suppose McCain does select Ridge, and conservatives -- believing he would never do such a thing -- were silent leading up to the pick ...

Tags: Veep



Tuesday, July 29, 2008
The Updated Conservative Guide to "Veep" Picks
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 8:30 AM
I've received a lot of feedback regarding my post the other day, titled: The Conservative guide to VP picks. 

Since this is a hot topic, there have been many developments ... 

As you might have seen on Fox yesterday, I believe conservatives ought to flat-out reject Tom Ridge.  His selection would be a leap backward for the conservative movement (as it relates to the Republican Party), and should be treated as a "non-starter."  I also floated the name of Utah gov. Jon Huntsman -- who is starting to generate a buzz.

Aside from Huckabee (whom I mentioned in the notes), one obvious name I left off the likely list was former Congressman and Ambassador Rob Portman.  This was an obvious oversight, so let me add him to the list:  Essentially, I see Portman in the same light I see Tim Pawlenty; He would not be an exciting pick, but he would also be acceptable to most conservatives.

If you're interested in this topic, Chris Connolly has some good thoughts on GOP "veep" picks, too.

UpdateAnother possible McCain pick?  I think most conservatives would be excited about Rep. Eric Cantor.

Tags: Veep



Wednesday, July 23, 2008
Geaux Bobby!
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:25 PM
Despite his denials, Chris Cillizza's post makes me think Bobby Jindal is campaigning for "veep" ... 
"Less than 24 hours before a scheduled meeting between John McCain and Louisiana Gov. Bobby Jindal, the state Republican party released polling revealing Jindal to be immensely popular in the state -- a less-than-subtle attempt to play into chatter surrounding the governor's vice presidential prospects.

The poll, which was conducted July 14-15 by Wes Anderson and his firm OnMessage Inc., showed that 69 percent of respondents had a favorable opinion of Jindal as compared to just 18 percent who were unfavorably disposed toward the governor.

In his memo on the data, Anderson, who is also Jindal's pollster, writes: "Governor Jindal has obviously come out of his recent dustups with the legislature in a commanding position where he retains overwhelming support from the voters of Louisiana."



Tags: Veep Jindal



Tuesday, July 15, 2008
Romney Becoming More Likely "Veep" Pick?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 10:33 AM
First Read reports:

"At a fundraiser in New Mexico last night, McCain cracked this joke at Romney’s expense: “I’m appreciative every time I see Mitt on television on my behalf. He does a better job for me than he did for himself as a matter of fact.” Bada bing. If McCain can start joking about someone, you know they've made it into his mental inner circle. Romney may very well be higher on the short list than anyone realizes. The biggest roadblock for many in picturing a McCain-Romney ticket is McCain getting over his personal reservations about him. But joking about him is a start."

It seems to me that Romney's chances are getting better and better every day.  Really, the only major reservation about whether or not McCain would consider Romney was whether or not McCain could warm up to him personally ... 



Tags: Veep Mitt Romney



Monday, June 16, 2008
Newt Says ...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:23 AM
McCain should pick Bobby Jindal for "veep" ...

Tags: Veep



Tuesday, June 03, 2008
A Private-Sector Veep for McCain?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:21 PM
Jonathan Martin wonders if McCain will pick someone from the private sector for Veep.

Here's a clip from my interview with McCain, over a year ago.  First, note my question about Texas loyalists (in light of the recent McClellan flap).  Second, note McCain's response about Silicon Valley, etc.

I doubt McCain will pick a private sector VP -- but I am sure he will name several private sector folks to top administration posts ...



Tags: Veep



Tuesday, June 03, 2008
Hillary Open to Being VP ...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 3:29 PM
MSNBC reports Hillary Clinton has said she's open to being Obama's VP.  If this came in response to a question, it may not be that big of a deal.  But if this was part of Hillary's prepared remarks, it would be big, indeed.  For one thing, it could mark the beginning of Hillary's "campaign" to pressure Obama into picking her...

Tags: Veep



Thursday, May 29, 2008
Webb as Veep?
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:11 PM
I gave a speech this morning in Richmond, VA to VPAP, the Virginia Public Policy Access Project -- a great group whose mission is to make it easy for folks to search for Virginia political contributions on the net. 

During my remarks, I noted that the "macaca" moment did several things.  It swung the Senate to the Dems -- stopped the candidate most "insiders" believed would be the GOP nominee -- and it also gave us Jim Webb -- who (I noted) has a good chance of being Obama's running mate ...

James Fallows argues that Jim Webb would be great electorally, but that being Veep would make him miserable.

Tags: Veep



Wednesday, May 28, 2008
When a Sex Scandal Helps You...
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 9:51 AM
... Speaking of Roger Stone, Politics 1 reports this:

How interested is Florida Governor Charlie Crist in being John McCain's VP runningmate? So much so that veteran GOP dirty trickster Roger Stone -- who coordinated a few dirty stunts in support of Crist during the 2006 gubernatorial campaign -- is quietly peddling a so-called "Charlie Crist sex tape." That's what Stone called it during a telephone conversation. And no, it is not a tape of Crist having sex with a guy. In fact, it isn't even X-rated. The video was seemingly staged to kill the rumors that Crist is gay. Stone claims the tape -- which he discussed recently with Politics1, but didn't show to us ("I'm saving it for the national shows") -- "shows Charlie fooling around in a hotel elevator with his girlfriend ... They're making out." Adds Stone: "It was captured on a security camera in the elevator" last month. And Stone just conveniently happens to have a copy of the hotel's elevator surveillance tape, just when Crist's name is in play for the VP spot. Hmm. As for Crist's purported girlfriend -- presuming it is the same one he took as his date to the White House Correspondents Dinner in DC a few weeks ago -- she's still married (and not to Crist). Disclaimer: Always be skeptical of anything from Stone.


Tags: Veep



Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Memo to Self: Attack Ridge
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 4:53 PM
Marc Ambinder chimes in on the anti-Crist movement:

"If social conservatives want to worry about a pro-choicer on the ticket, they should worry about McCain-Ridge, not McCain-Crist."


Tags: Veep



Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Veepstakes
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 2:59 PM
Check out MSNBC's "interactive vice presidential game" ...

This week is Portman vs. Palin.  I'm voting Palin.

Tags: Veep



Tuesday, May 27, 2008
The Anti-Crist Crusade
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:26 AM
David Brody reports that if McCain, "picks Florida Governor Charlie Crist as his running mate, there will be MAJOR dissatisfaction among social conservatives."

Tags: Veep Crist



Tuesday, May 27, 2008
Huck: "... I Would Have Won."
Posted by: Matt Lewis at 11:18 AM
Check out these quotes from a recent Mike Huckabee Interview:

"... if we had played by the rules of the Democrats, I would have won, and if the Democrats have played by the rules of the Republicans, Hillary would have won this long ago."
And ...

"The greatest threat to classic Republicanism is not liberalism; it's this new brand of libertarianism, which is social liberalism and economic conservatism, but it's a heartless, callous, soulless type of economic conservatism because it says "look, we want to cut taxes and eliminate government."

And
...... Fred Thompson's presence took votes from me. We would have won by 10 points had Fred not been in the race. We would have won handily in South Carolina, but because the conservative vote split, in essence, three ways, and even though I had more than Fred Thompson and Mitt Romney combined, the fact is, their presence kept me from the two points I needed to beat John McCain in South Carolina. [He lost 29.9 percent to McCain's 33.2 percent.]  

(Emphasis mine.)

Tags: Veep huck


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